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CML Ditches House Price Forecast
The Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML), whose house price forecasts have
been among the UK’s most optimistic, has thrown in the towel, saying
conditions are too difficult to make predictions, and that no
improvement is likely until 2010.
The
CML’s last forecast, made in May, was for prices to be 7% lower in the
fourth quarter than last year. But indices from Halifax and Nationwide,
both CML members, suggest that prices are already down by more than 10%
on the year.
“While we accept that our forecasts currently understate the likely
magnitude of the house price correction in the UK this year, we believe
it is futile to update them in current market conditions,” the CML said.
Halifax and Nationwide are forecasting peak to trough declines of 20 to
25% and some private sector economists are predicting even steeper
falls.

£10 Million Notting Hill Home Repossessed
If the fear of repossession is something that is supposed to afflict
only the lower-paid and the sub-prime, then the news that it has
happened with an £11.6million London mansion will make some people
smile.
The
six-bedroom house on Ilchester Place in the wealthy enclave of Holland
Park has been repossessed and put on the market at £10 million. The
property was owned by Robert Bonnier, 38, who shot to fame in the
dot-com boom a decade ago with Scoot.com.
Tim
Blenkin, the Mayfair-based estate agent, said: “There are five potential
repossessions in Mayfair this year, which is unheard of.”
Mortgage lenders issued 39,078 claims for repossession from June to
August this year, 17% more than the same period last year, according to
Ministry of Justice figures.
FSA Rescue of B&B in Doubt
Attempts by the FSA to find a buyer for Bradford & Bingley
are understood to be floundering and that no deal to sell the buy-to-let
specialist is imminent.
The
FSA is believed to have approached at least three potential bidders,
including National Australia Bank (NAB), which owns the Clydesdale and
Yorkshire banks, ING, the Dutch bank that operates ING Direct in
Britain, and Banco Santander, the owner of the Abbey. It is understood
that neither NAB nor Santander would be willing buyers for B&B. ING’s
interest was unclear last night.
B&B
said that it was not in takeover talks – or in financial difficulty.
“We’re not aware of anything in connection with these three banks,” B&B
said. “Our funding foundations are solid and we’re well capitalised.”
B&B’s
finances are believed to be secure for the medium term, a source said,
but it may still need to seek a buyer at some stage. Sharp declines in
B&B’s share price and persistent speculation that it could be the next
casualty of the credit crunch spurred the FSA to action.
B&B’s shares plumbed record lows last week after Moody’s
downgraded the bank’s debt to one notch above junk. It cited dependence
on buy-to-let and self-certification mortgages, which have higher
default rates than traditional home loans.

Agents Believe Homeowners Will Take Houses off
Market
The number of homes for sale is tipped to fall as homeowners
seek to avoid the further price slides.
Some
agents had reported that a rush of homes for sale in recent months and
that a fall in prices had prompted some interest from bargain-hunters.
But they now reckon the latest round of credit-crunch pain will further
restrict the supply of mortgages and will further knock confidence.
Miles
Shipside of Rightmove, said that buyers now required “bravery in the
face of the ongoing turmoil in the financial markets”. Liam Bailey, of
estate agency Knight Frank has predicted an atmosphere of further
uncertainty and no recovery before next spring.
A
monthly survey of asking prices by Rightmove, suggests average prices
fell by a further £2,378, or 1%, in the month to September 13.
Brick Production Down to 1940s Level
Experts believe fewer than two billion bricks will be made this year –
the first time this has happened in over 60 years.
For
the past two years, the figures have stood at 2.4 billion. Two of the
biggest companies, Ibstock and Wienerberger, have announced that they
are closing plants and axing jobs.
And on
Thursday, the UK’s biggest brick manufacturer, Ibstock, announced it
would close factories at Roughdales in Merseyside and Funton in Kent,
while its factory in Ellistown, Leicestershire will be mothballed.
The
UK’s third biggest brick manufacturer – Wienerberger – announced that 71
jobs face the axe at its plant in Kidderminster.
Further shutdowns of plants are expected between Christmas and February.
Pat Furr, operations director of Wienerberger UK, said the company could
not rule out further closures and directly blamed the poor housing
market and rising energy costs as the reason behind it.
His
words were echoed by Hanson’s communication manager David Weeks, who
said the UK's second biggest brick manufacturer was in exactly the same
situation.
He
said: “The housebuilders have put up their shutters and gone home. This
industry relies on a conveyor-belt system. The builders used to take the
bricks on a daily basis. But as soon as it comes to a standstill, we
have no chance.”
Dr
Noble Francis, economics director of the Construction Products
Association, said: “The housing market has been hit incredibly hard and
the number of homes built is at its lowest since 1945. There has been a
domino effect and bricks form a critical part of the building process.
Everyone is affected from the housebuilders through to the
manufacturers.”
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